Remote Learning Disaster Haunts Elementary Students

Six years after schools reopened, first and second graders still cannot read at pre-pandemic levels, and nobody seems willing to admit the recovery has stalled.

Quick Take

  • NWEA’s March 2026 report confirms reading scores for grades 1-2 remain flat and below 2019-2020 baselines despite years of recovery efforts
  • The largest reading decline since 1990 hit age 9 students in 2022, with the lowest performers experiencing the steepest drops
  • Math scores show slow improvement, but reading stagnation suggests the youngest learners face compounded barriers to catching up
  • Remote learning inequities and unequal tech access during 2020-2021 created persistent gaps that targeted interventions have failed to close at scale
  • Long-term consequences include widened achievement gaps, lower college readiness, and reduced future workforce productivity for affected cohorts

The Reading Crisis Nobody Expected to Last This Long

When schools shuttered in March 2020, educators predicted a temporary setback. Fall 2020 assessments across grades 1-6 revealed something darker: reading scores plummeted compared to 2019-2020 baselines. Over 950,000 students showed measurable declines. By 2022, the National Assessment of Educational Progress documented a five-point drop for age 9 students—the largest decline since 1990. Yet here we are in 2026, and the youngest readers still have not recovered.

Why the Youngest Learners Got Hit Hardest

Seventy percent of age 9 students spent 2020-2021 in remote learning, a critical period when foundational reading skills crystallize. Lower performers—those at the 10th and 25th percentiles—experienced the steepest drops, exacerbated by unequal access to technology and quiet study spaces. Suburban schools saw gaps narrow relative to city schools by 2022, but this masks a troubling reality: the most vulnerable students never caught up. Remote inequities favored students with better home environments, widening the chasm between haves and have-nots.

The Stagnation Trap

NWEA’s latest assessment of 2024-2025 data shows reading scores for first and second graders remain largely flat—neither recovering nor declining further. This is worse than decline; it signals resignation. Math scores inch upward slowly, suggesting schools have redirected focus away from reading instruction. Researchers note the pandemic’s impact “may still be lingering” for youngest students, a euphemism for institutional failure to prioritize early literacy recovery.

Who Bears the Burden

Lower-performing, Black, and Hispanic students concentrated in suburban and Southern regions face the steepest barriers. These cohorts enter third grade—where reading shifts from learning to read to reading to learn—already behind. The compounding effect threatens grade-level readiness and engagement. Higher education institutions report increased missed assignments and disengagement among students with weak reading foundations, signaling that pandemic learning loss does not stay contained in elementary school.

Interventions Exist But Fall Short at Scale

Low-cost reading programs maintain skills in 97 percent of participants and cost just three percent of summer school alternatives—yet they remain fragmented across only six states through Kids Read Now. Cost-effective solutions exist; what is missing is political will to fund them universally. Pre-pandemic reading proficiency already stagnated at 34 percent for fourth graders in 2019, dropping to 32 percent by 2022. The pandemic did not create the crisis; it exposed and deepened an existing one.

The youngest readers of 2026 will carry this deficit into adolescence and adulthood. College dropout rates, workforce productivity, and lifetime earnings hinge partly on early literacy. The window for remediation narrows each year these students advance without foundational skills. Six years post-closure, the data screams what policy makers whisper: recovery requires resources schools do not have and commitment voters have not demanded.

Sources:

Pandemic Learning Loss: Evidence from a Natural Experiment in School Closures

Remote Learning and Reading Achievement: A Quasi-Experimental Analysis of School Closure Effects

National Assessment of Educational Progress: Long-Term Trend Reading Results 2022

Pandemic Learning Loss Impacting Young People’s Futures

Kids Read Now: 2022-2023 Impact Report

COVID Worsened Long Decline in 12th Graders’ Reading, Math Skills

How the Pandemic Is Impacting Students with Reading Barriers